Now a general weather chat thread

The 1.01” I cited came from here (near edge of Maplecrest Park)

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNJMAPLE28?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash

That’s a good amount of rain, and quite welcome. I would have cut the lawn yesterday had I known. 

sac said:

Are we looking at some rain this afternoon/evening? I hadn't seen it in the forecast (and made some outdoor plans) but it now looks threatening out.

A shower has popped up, mostly to our south. Should not last long.

Last night's storm was another very localized event

Thurs Aug 17th

Still unsettled today and tomorrow, with showers likely (especially tonight) and possibly a thunderstorm. The weekend should be glorious, though.

Air quality Good.

Hey Max, I just caught the west coast wind and rain predictions for the next day or so…goodness! How much of that will lead to flooding events around the east? (I’m wondering how the water tables will soak up a rapid dump as well as how far east more storms will come etc)

joanne said:

Hey Max, I just caught the west coast wind and rain predictions for the next day or so…goodness! How much of that will lead to flooding events around the east? (I’m wondering how the water tables will soak up a rapid dump as well as how far east more storms will come etc)

It's 3000 miles away with the continental divide in between so very doubtful that there would be any direct effect on us, certainly not from the water table. (Unless I need re-education about weather, which I'm sure that @max will provide if needed.)

sac said:

joanne said:

Hey Max, I just caught the west coast wind and rain predictions for the next day or so…goodness! How much of that will lead to flooding events around the east? (I’m wondering how the water tables will soak up a rapid dump as well as how far east more storms will come etc)

It's 3000 miles away with the continental divide in between so very doubtful that there would be any direct effect on us, certainly not from the water table. (Unless I need re-education about weather, which I'm sure that @max will provide if needed.)

^^ what she said

And in fact there are two continental divides between us (Atlantic//Mississippi Gulf, and Mississippi Gulf//Pacific)

max_weisenfeld said:

sac said:

joanne said:

Hey Max, I just caught the west coast wind and rain predictions for the next day or so…goodness! How much of that will lead to flooding events around the east? (I’m wondering how the water tables will soak up a rapid dump as well as how far east more storms will come etc)

It's 3000 miles away with the continental divide in between so very doubtful that there would be any direct effect on us, certainly not from the water table. (Unless I need re-education about weather, which I'm sure that @max will provide if needed.)

^^ what she said

And in fact there are two continental divides between us (Atlantic//Mississippi Gulf, and Mississippi Gulf//Pacific)

I didn't know about the Atlantic//Mississippi Gulf divide. Is that on the maps like the other one out west? (Is it along the Appalachian range or ??)

Yes, along the Appalachian ridge.

It's not such a big deal because the Gulf isn't an ocean

It looks to me like Idalia heads back out over open water after the Carolinas.  Will it regain hurricane strength or is it too early to tell.

GoSlugs said:

It looks to me like Idalia heads back out over open water after the Carolinas.  Will it regain hurricane strength or is it too early to tell.

It's expected to remain a tropical storm as it heads back out to sea

sac said:

max_weisenfeld said:

sac said:

joanne said:

Hey Max, I just caught the west coast wind and rain predictions for the next day or so…goodness! How much of that will lead to flooding events around the east? (I’m wondering how the water tables will soak up a rapid dump as well as how far east more storms will come etc)

It's 3000 miles away with the continental divide in between so very doubtful that there would be any direct effect on us, certainly not from the water table. (Unless I need re-education about weather, which I'm sure that @max will provide if needed.)

^^ what she said

And in fact there are two continental divides between us (Atlantic//Mississippi Gulf, and Mississippi Gulf//Pacific)

I didn't know about the Atlantic//Mississippi Gulf divide. Is that on the maps like the other one out west? (Is it along the Appalachian range or ??)

There are several continental divides in or partially in the U.S. (which I did not know until right now).

max_weisenfeld said:

GoSlugs said:

It looks to me like Idalia heads back out over open water after the Carolinas.  Will it regain hurricane strength or is it too early to tell.

It's expected to remain a tropical storm as it heads back out to sea

I think we've got a lot of PTSD still regarding "I" named hurricanes, but to be fair I just have it about tropical storms in general now.

ridski said:

max_weisenfeld said:

GoSlugs said:

It looks to me like Idalia heads back out over open water after the Carolinas.  Will it regain hurricane strength or is it too early to tell.

It's expected to remain a tropical storm as it heads back out to sea

I think we've got a lot of PTSD still regarding "I" named hurricanes, but to be fair I just have it about tropical storms in general now.

https://www.wesh.com/article/hurricanes-letter-i-retired-idalia/44937670#:~:text=Retiring%20a%20hurricane%20name&text=name%20replaces%20it.-,Of%20the%20Atlantic%20retired%20list%20of%20names%2C%20those%20beginning%20with,causing%20more%20than%20150%20deaths.

Retiring a hurricane name

When a tropical storm is extremely deadly or destructive, or “the future use of its name on a different storm would be inappropriate for obvious reasons of sensitivity,” the name is retired, according to the National Hurricane Center. It is removed from the list, and another name replaces it.

Of the Atlantic retired list of names, those beginning with the letter “I” are the most prominent, with 14 names, which is about 15% of the list.

2023-09-04-18Z:

https://www.weathernerds.org/tc_guidance/storm.html?tcid=AL95

dickf3 said:

2023-09-04-18Z:

https://www.weathernerds.org/tc_guidance/storm.html?tcid=AL95

Doesn't look good for Bermuda.

You forgot this one

Anybody looking for some warmer weather?

49C is 120F // 30C is 86F

I’m actually hoping for snow next weekend, I’m fed up with the rains every weekend. Just let’s have some snow please.

 I really don't need snow before recovering from back surgery, so how about May or June?

DanDietrich said:

 I really don't need snow before recovering from back surgery, so how about May or June?

My husband just had Achilles tendon repair surgery and it is difficult for me to shovel snow because of back problems, so I second that! Although a little snow would be okay.

Central park hasn’t recorded a major snowfall since Feb. 13, 2022.

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/29/nyregion/central-park-snow-record.html

So what is the reason - La Nina - Global Warming - jet stream patterns?  I wouldn't mind a little snow - it is nice not having to shovel though.

Jaytee said:

I’m actually hoping for snow next weekend, I’m fed up with the rains every weekend. Just let’s have some snow please.

I would like to wait until the program to sign up volunteers to help seniors with snow shoveling has enough volunteers to be operational.  It gets harder and harder for me to shovel on my own, though I still do it.

BTW: Belated Happy 2024 to Australia, Hong Kong, etc...

-s.

Are we in for some strong winds next Tuesday/wednesday? Also a lot of rain?  I hate the wind on the days of recycling. It’s a mess. 

Jaytee said:

Are we in for some strong winds next Tuesday/wednesday? Also a lot of rain?  I hate the wind on the days of recycling. It’s a mess. 

Rain likely, wind tbd

Yale University has free online course lectures about many subjects.  One series is about the atmosphere, oceans, and climate by Professor Ron Smith.  They are a really good introduction to meteorology and explain much of what Max advises us about.  Google "Yale, free course lectures, atmosphere"  (perhaps I should just post the linc.)  and you should find it.  It has some math in it, but you do not need to understand the math to understand the concepts.  It explains how the weather is driven by the sun and that by the wonder of nature, we have the right amount of global heat retention.  He also explains how we can get too much global warming.   The course is about ten years old.  

lince for Yale climate course free lectures.   

Jaytee said:

Are we in for some strong winds next Tuesday/wednesday? Also a lot of rain?  I hate the wind on the days of recycling. It’s a mess. 

I’d absolutely expect some gusty wind if the system develops as forecast

Tend to believe the risk for more intense cold — with an attendant risk for snow — will increase as we enter mid-month. Figure the risk starts in around a week.